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Online Guide to EBM:
Solving a clinical problem related to diagnostic testing.
Notes on using the
lecture
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1) Ask The Question
2) Finding the Evidence:
choosing a source
3) Finding the Evidence:
constructing a search strategy (OVID)
4) Reading the Study:
Is it Valid?
5) What are the Results?
6) Calculating
LR's
7) Will the results
help me care for my patient?
8) Will the results
change my management? |
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| 1) Ask The
Question |
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Start by framing a concise question. If you can't structure your
question clearly it will be difficult to find the information you want.
The question can be divided into 4 parts, depending on your needs.
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What is the condition (disease) of interest.
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What is the test of interest
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What is the comparison test (gold standard) of interest
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What do out want to know about the test, e.g. the test related "outcome."
Usually what we want to know is the test's accuracy

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| 2)
Finding the Evidence: choosing a source |
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In general, the best yield for evidence on diagnostic tests are the
primary databases. Secondary sources are weak on diagnosis.
For information on screening tests see cpmcnet.
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| 3) Finding
the Evidence: constructing a search strategy (OVID) |
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If you have not already done so, this is a good point to stop
and read more about literature
searching.
For a simple approach try the following
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Enter a search
filter for diagnostic testing.
Type: exp "sensitivity and specificity"/ in the ovid search
field
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Search the test
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Search the disease
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Combine these (Boolean AND): 1 AND 2 AND 3
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See an example
You can greatly enhance the yield of your search by using an expanded search
filter and by using multiple search terms for each portion of the question.
See an example of a more complex
search strategy. |
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| 4) Reading
the study: Is it valid? |
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Consider the following when reading your article
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Accounting: Do the numbers add up? The article should
provide a clear description of patient flow through the diagnostic protocol
and all patients should be accounted for
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Methods: reporting Were the methods for performing the test described
in sufficient detail to permit replication of the test in your setting?
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Blinding: Was there an independent, blind comparison with
a reference standard? E.g. the person interpreting the study test was blinded
to results of the gold standard test, and vice versa. How good
was the method of blinding? Lack of blinding may result in several
forms of Review bias.
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Reference standard (gold standard) comparison: The gold standard
must be valid. All patients should be investigated by both tests.
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Precision: Confidence intervals on outcomes (sensitivity,
specificity etc.) should be presented. If not, calculate
them.
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Bias
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Spectrum Bias: Did the study
sample include an appropriate spectrum of patients and was the population
similar to yours? If not, how would you expect the test to perform
in your setting
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Verification Bias: Did the
results of the test being evaluated influence the decision to perform the
gold standard test?
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For interested readers:

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| 5) What
are the results? |
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Diagnostic test performance is usually expressed as sensitivity, specificity
and predictive values. Make sure you understand these
terms
before moving on.
Likelihood ratios (LR) are
the most valuable way to express a test's potential clinical impact.
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The LR is a statistical expression. It describes how a test result
effects
the probability that a disease or condition is present. Test
information is only valuable if it changes the probability of disease enough
to alter treatment or diagnosis. Although the LR can be derived from
sensitivity and specificity, those expressions alone don’t provide information
on the effect of a result on disease probability.
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| 6)
Calculate LR's, if not provided in your article |
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LR's are determined from a contingency table derived from the results,
or more simply, by the reported sensitivity and specificity.
Use an online calculator if you
need help using a contingency table. You can now determine the LR's.
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The LR for a positive result = sensitivity/ (1-specificity)
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The LR for a negative result = (1-sensitivity)/specificity
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Confidence Intervals should be provided for all of the above mentioned
result measurements. If not provided, provided calculate confidence
intervals on the LR.
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| 7) Will
the results help me caring for my patient? |
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Consider the following
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Is your patient typical of a study patient? If not ,
the results may not be applicable. See discussion on spectrum
bias above.
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Will the reproducibility of the test result and its interpretation
be satisfactory in your setting? If the test was conducted
or interpreted by individuals with specialized training, on different equipment,
or in a different environment, can you expect similar results?
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Tests which require subjective interpretation may be problematic. Look
for an analysis or discussion of inter-rater
reliability (kappa), or perform a separate search on this.

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| 8)
Will the results change my management? |
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If the test result is positive will it change your diagnosis or
treatment? If its negative?
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As few tests are perfect, the possibility that your test result is false
(FP or FN) must be considered. Thus, most tests don’t rule in or rule out
disease, they change the probability of disease.
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Consequently the real questions are 1) what is the probability of disease
if the test result is positive (or negative)? and 2) will a positive
or negative result change the probability of disease enough to result in
an important change in diagnosis or management.
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To answer these questions you must determine (or estimate) the pre-test
probability of disease, and determine the likelihood ratio's for
positive and negative test results.
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When you have determined these values you can determine the post-test probability
of disease, then make a value judgment as to the potential benefits or
risks of testing. Use the LR
nomogram from CEBM.
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