Is this study valid
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Definition of the tool outcome: Don't confuse this with
the search outcome, discussed above. the outcome of the tool (which
is really a diagnostic test here) is the presence or absence of an ectopic
pregnancy. Our paper clearly defines these outcomes and displays
the criteria for diagnosis or exclusion of an ectopic in a easy to follow
table
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Blind assessment of outcome: The article does not specifically
state that persons determining outcome (ectopic or not) were blinded to
findings on clinical examination
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Prospective assesment of predictors: Yes. In fact a template
form including all potential predictor variables studied was used as the
medical record.
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Are the potential predictor variables clearly defined: Yes.
An appendices briefly defines criteria for each variable
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Are the potential predictors reliable? They did not
assess inter-rater reliability for physical examination findings.
They note in their discussion that subjecting patients to two, potentially
painful examinations, may not be ethical.
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Were the mathematical techniques used to define the rule explained:
yes.
They used recursive partitioning and described the method.
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Did they include too many variables in the final rule? 2 variables
define a high risk group. 4 additional variables differentiate the
remaining patients into moderate and low risk groups. Thus 6 variables.
To avoid over fitting they should have had at least 60 ectopic gestations
in their sample. They had only 39. Thus the potential for data
over fitting exists.
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Description of the derivation population: The demographic
characteristics are displayed in a table
Validation: This is a derivation study. data splitting was used
but we will have to search for an independent validation study.
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